{
  "summary": "This chapter is observing (no good/bad criterion): observation started 2026-08-30, 3 series, latest confirmed 2026-11-10. Latest final value: 10-year Treasury par yield 4.98% (2026-11-10). (Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury; Grants.gov / updated 2026-11-11 18:01 JST)",
  "cite_as": "AI Lifeline, Fiscal & capital (United States edition), data confirmed 2026-11-10, https://ai-lifeline.org/us/fiscal/",
  "frequency_note": "Yields and TGA are daily (business days); the grants count is a daily snapshot aggregated monthly.",
  "region": "us",
  "cannot_say": [
    "Whether a yield or a cash balance is good or bad for AI, or where rates are heading (no criterion; nothing here is financial advice).",
    "How much the federal government budgets or spends on AI (annual budget figures do not meet the monthly-or-better rule; kept as a candidate ledger).",
    "General economic conditions (stocks, exchange rates and inflation are out of scope by design)."
  ],
  "series": {
    "tga_balance": {
      "name": "Treasury General Account opening balance (millions of USD, daily)",
      "causal_note": "The federal cash position is the upstream water level of public AI investment: when it tightens, AI programs are squeezed before private demand.",
      "source": {
        "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Treasury Statement (Fiscal Data)",
        "url": "https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/daily-treasury-statement/",
        "license": "Public domain (U.S. federal government work). No key."
      },
      "data_status": "live",
      "daily": [
        {
          "date": "2026-08-14",
          "value": 966587.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-08-31 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-17",
          "value": 959184.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-01 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-18",
          "value": 932785.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-02 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-19",
          "value": 961952.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-03 21:53"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-20",
          "value": 936406.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-04 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-21",
          "value": 935077.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-08 18:33"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-24",
          "value": 933218.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-25",
          "value": 966849.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-10 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-26",
          "value": 994137.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-11 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-27",
          "value": 959435.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-14 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-28",
          "value": 950804.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-15 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-31",
          "value": 971343.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-16 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-01",
          "value": 1023554.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-17 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-02",
          "value": 942793.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-18 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-03",
          "value": 944364.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-21 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-04",
          "value": 903928.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-22 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-08",
          "value": 888923.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-23 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-09",
          "value": 880019.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-24 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-10",
          "value": 843705.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-25 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-11",
          "value": 818110.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-28 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-14",
          "value": 822200.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-29 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-15",
          "value": 871224.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-30 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-16",
          "value": 991557.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-01 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-17",
          "value": 991708.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-02 18:02"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-18",
          "value": 972675.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-05 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-21",
          "value": 985932.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-06 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-22",
          "value": 1004391.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-07 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-23",
          "value": 957409.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-08 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-24",
          "value": 947317.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "value": 924627.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-13 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-28",
          "value": 945290.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-14 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-29",
          "value": 959572.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-15 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-30",
          "value": 936600.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-16 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "value": 984046.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-19 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "value": 893699.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-20 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-05",
          "value": 871181.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-21 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-06",
          "value": 883335.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-22 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "value": 885414.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-23 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-08",
          "value": 885783.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-26 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "value": 887469.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-27 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-13",
          "value": 872526.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-28 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-14",
          "value": 920214.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-29 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-15",
          "value": 885823.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-29 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-16",
          "value": 934690.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-03 00:41"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-19",
          "value": 948492.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-03 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-20",
          "value": 965045.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-04 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-21",
          "value": 973653.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-05 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-22",
          "value": 945153.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-06 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-23",
          "value": 961759.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-26",
          "value": 982489.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-10 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-27",
          "value": 1020700.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-28",
          "value": 1052530.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-29",
          "value": 1015632.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-30",
          "value": 1040236.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-02",
          "value": 951593.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-03",
          "value": 930757.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-04",
          "value": 938208.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-05",
          "value": 936248.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-06",
          "value": 922752.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-09",
          "value": 910313.0,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        }
      ]
    },
    "ai_grants_open": {
      "name": "Posted funding opportunities matching the AI query (count; monthly = last snapshot of the month)",
      "causal_note": "Grant postings are the monthly pulse of the state actually opening its funding tap for AI — not a promise (budget), but a posted call.",
      "today_provisional": {
        "date": "2026-11-11",
        "value": 141,
        "as_of": "2026-11-11 18:01",
        "note": "provisional (partial day, as of retrieval time)"
      },
      "query_definition": "Grants.gov search2 full-text keyword: \"artificial intelligence\", status: posted. Counts are defined entirely by this query.",
      "daily_snapshots": [
        {
          "date": "2026-08-29",
          "value": 171,
          "fetched_at": "2026-08-30 00:17"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-30",
          "value": 170,
          "fetched_at": "2026-08-30 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-31",
          "value": 169,
          "fetched_at": "2026-08-31 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-01",
          "value": 167,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-01 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-02",
          "value": 178,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-02 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-03",
          "value": 181,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-04 08:46"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-04",
          "value": 180,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-04 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-05",
          "value": 181,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-05 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-06",
          "value": 181,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-06 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-07",
          "value": 181,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-07 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-08",
          "value": 181,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-08 18:33"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-09",
          "value": 179,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-10",
          "value": 178,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-10 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-11",
          "value": 175,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-11 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-12",
          "value": 173,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-12 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-13",
          "value": 173,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-13 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-14",
          "value": 171,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-14 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-15",
          "value": 167,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-15 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-16",
          "value": 165,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-16 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-17",
          "value": 163,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-17 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-18",
          "value": 163,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-18 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-19",
          "value": 164,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-19 18:35"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-20",
          "value": 164,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-20 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-21",
          "value": 163,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-21 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-22",
          "value": 163,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-22 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-23",
          "value": 160,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-23 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-24",
          "value": 161,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-24 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "value": 160,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-25 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-26",
          "value": 162,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-26 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-27",
          "value": 162,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-27 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-28",
          "value": 162,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-28 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-29",
          "value": 161,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-29 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-30",
          "value": 160,
          "fetched_at": "2026-09-30 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "value": 151,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-01 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-02 18:02"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-03",
          "value": 143,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-03 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-04",
          "value": 142,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-04 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-05",
          "value": 142,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-05 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-06",
          "value": 140,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-06 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "value": 141,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-07 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-08",
          "value": 141,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-08 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "value": 141,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-10",
          "value": 140,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-10 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-11",
          "value": 140,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-12 06:25"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-12",
          "value": 140,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-12 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-13",
          "value": 140,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-13 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-14",
          "value": 141,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-14 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-15",
          "value": 141,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-15 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-16",
          "value": 142,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-16 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-17",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-17 18:02"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-18",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-18 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-19",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-19 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-20",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-20 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-21",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-21 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-22",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-22 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-23",
          "value": 143,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-23 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-24",
          "value": 143,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-24 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-25",
          "value": 142,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-25 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-26",
          "value": 142,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-26 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-27",
          "value": 143,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-27 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-28",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-28 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-29",
          "value": 145,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-29 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-31",
          "value": 149,
          "fetched_at": "2026-10-31 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-01",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-01 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-02",
          "value": 151,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-03 00:41"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-03",
          "value": 151,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-03 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-04",
          "value": 151,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-04 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-05",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-05 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-06",
          "value": 147,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-06 18:00"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-08",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-08 21:26"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-09",
          "value": 144,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-09 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-10",
          "value": 143,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-10 18:01"
        }
      ],
      "data_status": "live",
      "source": {
        "name": "Grants.gov search API",
        "url": "https://grants.gov/api/api-guide",
        "license": "U.S. federal government service. No key (search2 is unauthenticated)."
      },
      "monthly": [
        {
          "period": "2026-08",
          "value": 169,
          "as_of": "2026-08-31"
        },
        {
          "period": "2026-09",
          "value": 160,
          "as_of": "2026-09-30"
        },
        {
          "period": "2026-10",
          "value": 149,
          "as_of": "2026-10-31"
        },
        {
          "period": "2026-11",
          "value": 143,
          "as_of": "2026-11-10"
        }
      ]
    },
    "treasury_yield": {
      "name": "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve (%, headline 10Y)",
      "causal_note": "Data centers and GPUs are financed with debt; the long rate sets the funding cost and the discount rate of future AI revenue.",
      "source": {
        "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates",
        "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/",
        "license": "Public domain (U.S. federal government work). No key."
      },
      "data_status": "live",
      "daily": [
        {
          "date": "2026-07-06",
          "y10": 4.48,
          "y2": 4.13,
          "y30": 4.99,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-07",
          "y10": 4.55,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.05,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-08",
          "y10": 4.56,
          "y2": 4.21,
          "y30": 5.06,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-09",
          "y10": 4.54,
          "y2": 4.16,
          "y30": 5.05,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-10",
          "y10": 4.56,
          "y2": 4.21,
          "y30": 5.06,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-13",
          "y10": 4.62,
          "y2": 4.26,
          "y30": 5.1,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-14",
          "y10": 4.58,
          "y2": 4.18,
          "y30": 5.08,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-15",
          "y10": 4.55,
          "y2": 4.13,
          "y30": 5.08,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-16",
          "y10": 4.57,
          "y2": 4.16,
          "y30": 5.09,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-17",
          "y10": 4.55,
          "y2": 4.18,
          "y30": 5.06,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-20",
          "y10": 4.6,
          "y2": 4.21,
          "y30": 5.11,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-21",
          "y10": 4.63,
          "y2": 4.26,
          "y30": 5.13,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-22",
          "y10": 4.67,
          "y2": 4.31,
          "y30": 5.15,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-23",
          "y10": 4.71,
          "y2": 4.37,
          "y30": 5.17,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-24",
          "y10": 4.69,
          "y2": 4.33,
          "y30": 5.16,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-27",
          "y10": 4.65,
          "y2": 4.31,
          "y30": 5.12,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-28",
          "y10": 4.61,
          "y2": 4.26,
          "y30": 5.09,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-29",
          "y10": 4.67,
          "y2": 4.22,
          "y30": 5.2,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-30",
          "y10": 4.68,
          "y2": 4.23,
          "y30": 5.21,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "y10": 4.75,
          "y2": 4.28,
          "y30": 5.27,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-03",
          "y10": 4.7,
          "y2": 4.25,
          "y30": 5.23,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-04",
          "y10": 4.63,
          "y2": 4.2,
          "y30": 5.18,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-05",
          "y10": 4.63,
          "y2": 4.18,
          "y30": 5.17,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-06",
          "y10": 4.69,
          "y2": 4.25,
          "y30": 5.22,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "y10": 4.65,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.19,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-10",
          "y10": 4.72,
          "y2": 4.25,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-11",
          "y10": 4.7,
          "y2": 4.22,
          "y30": 5.24,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-12",
          "y10": 4.68,
          "y2": 4.2,
          "y30": 5.24,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-13",
          "y10": 4.63,
          "y2": 4.15,
          "y30": 5.21,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-14",
          "y10": 4.68,
          "y2": 4.17,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-17",
          "y10": 4.72,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.31,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-18",
          "y10": 4.71,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.28,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-19",
          "y10": 4.65,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.19,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-20",
          "y10": 4.69,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.23,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-21",
          "y10": 4.74,
          "y2": 4.24,
          "y30": 5.27,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-24",
          "y10": 4.7,
          "y2": 4.24,
          "y30": 5.23,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-25",
          "y10": 4.64,
          "y2": 4.17,
          "y30": 5.17,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-26",
          "y10": 4.66,
          "y2": 4.19,
          "y30": 5.18,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-27",
          "y10": 4.67,
          "y2": 4.2,
          "y30": 5.19,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-28",
          "y10": 4.73,
          "y2": 4.34,
          "y30": 5.22,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-08-31",
          "y10": 4.75,
          "y2": 4.34,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-01",
          "y10": 4.79,
          "y2": 4.39,
          "y30": 5.27,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-02",
          "y10": 4.79,
          "y2": 4.39,
          "y30": 5.27,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-03",
          "y10": 4.77,
          "y2": 4.34,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-04",
          "y10": 4.78,
          "y2": 4.37,
          "y30": 5.24,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-08",
          "y10": 4.8,
          "y2": 4.39,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-09",
          "y10": 4.83,
          "y2": 4.43,
          "y30": 5.28,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-10",
          "y10": 4.95,
          "y2": 4.56,
          "y30": 5.37,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-11",
          "y10": 4.96,
          "y2": 4.63,
          "y30": 5.35,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-14",
          "y10": 4.97,
          "y2": 4.65,
          "y30": 5.34,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-15",
          "y10": 5.0,
          "y2": 4.67,
          "y30": 5.36,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-16",
          "y10": 5.01,
          "y2": 4.74,
          "y30": 5.35,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-17",
          "y10": 4.94,
          "y2": 4.67,
          "y30": 5.29,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-18",
          "y10": 5.01,
          "y2": 4.76,
          "y30": 5.34,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-21",
          "y10": 4.96,
          "y2": 4.76,
          "y30": 5.29,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-22",
          "y10": 4.96,
          "y2": 4.71,
          "y30": 5.29,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-23",
          "y10": 5.11,
          "y2": 4.85,
          "y30": 5.4,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-24",
          "y10": 5.18,
          "y2": 4.87,
          "y30": 5.47,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "y10": 5.17,
          "y2": 4.81,
          "y30": 5.49,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-28",
          "y10": 5.24,
          "y2": 4.92,
          "y30": 5.56,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-29",
          "y10": 5.26,
          "y2": 4.89,
          "y30": 5.59,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-09-30",
          "y10": 5.29,
          "y2": 4.88,
          "y30": 5.64,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "y10": 5.24,
          "y2": 4.78,
          "y30": 5.61,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "y10": 5.28,
          "y2": 4.83,
          "y30": 5.63,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-05",
          "y10": 5.31,
          "y2": 4.84,
          "y30": 5.66,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-06",
          "y10": 5.27,
          "y2": 4.79,
          "y30": 5.64,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "y10": 5.28,
          "y2": 4.77,
          "y30": 5.67,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-08",
          "y10": 5.22,
          "y2": 4.75,
          "y30": 5.6,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "y10": 5.24,
          "y2": 4.8,
          "y30": 5.6,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-13",
          "y10": 5.21,
          "y2": 4.79,
          "y30": 5.56,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-14",
          "y10": 5.19,
          "y2": 4.82,
          "y30": 5.52,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-15",
          "y10": 5.1,
          "y2": 4.77,
          "y30": 5.43,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-16",
          "y10": 5.09,
          "y2": 4.74,
          "y30": 5.43,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-19",
          "y10": 5.15,
          "y2": 4.77,
          "y30": 5.48,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-20",
          "y10": 5.12,
          "y2": 4.79,
          "y30": 5.42,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-21",
          "y10": 5.13,
          "y2": 4.81,
          "y30": 5.42,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-22",
          "y10": 4.96,
          "y2": 4.65,
          "y30": 5.29,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-23",
          "y10": 5.0,
          "y2": 4.69,
          "y30": 5.33,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-26",
          "y10": 5.0,
          "y2": 4.68,
          "y30": 5.31,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-27",
          "y10": 4.99,
          "y2": 4.7,
          "y30": 5.3,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-28",
          "y10": 5.05,
          "y2": 4.67,
          "y30": 5.37,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-29",
          "y10": 4.98,
          "y2": 4.61,
          "y30": 5.32,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-10-30",
          "y10": 4.94,
          "y2": 4.56,
          "y30": 5.31,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-02",
          "y10": 4.91,
          "y2": 4.59,
          "y30": 5.28,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-03",
          "y10": 4.95,
          "y2": 4.61,
          "y30": 5.32,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-04",
          "y10": 4.9,
          "y2": 4.58,
          "y30": 5.28,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-05",
          "y10": 4.84,
          "y2": 4.46,
          "y30": 5.25,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-06",
          "y10": 4.86,
          "y2": 4.51,
          "y30": 5.26,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-09",
          "y10": 4.88,
          "y2": 4.56,
          "y30": 5.26,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-11-10",
          "y10": 4.98,
          "y2": 4.73,
          "y30": 5.35,
          "fetched_at": "2026-11-11 18:01"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "can_say": [
    "The daily par yield of U.S. Treasuries (headline 10-year), the opening balance of the Treasury General Account each business day, and how many funding opportunities matching \"artificial intelligence\" were posted on Grants.gov (monthly = last snapshot of the month).",
    "Which days are confirmed and which is the provisional current day, and when each value was retrieved.",
    "The exact Grants.gov query that defines the count, so it can be reproduced."
  ],
  "status": "observing",
  "generated": "2026-11-11 18:01",
  "status_note": "Observing only: no good/bad criterion is defined. Not a macro-economics dashboard — series are limited to those with a stated causal link to AI infrastructure.",
  "candidates": [
    {
      "name": "AI-related federal budget (annual; irregular ledger)",
      "reason": "Annual frequency does not meet the monthly-or-better rule; will be kept as a manual sourced ledger.",
      "status": "candidate_ledger"
    }
  ],
  "confirmed_note": "The daily array holds confirmed (completed) days only; the current day, if collected, sits in today_provisional.",
  "answer_line": "This chapter is observing (no good/bad criterion): observation started 2026-08-30, 3 series, latest confirmed 2026-11-10. Latest final value: 10-year Treasury par yield 4.98% (2026-11-10). (Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury; Grants.gov / updated 2026-11-11 18:01 JST)",
  "answer_line_date": "2026-11-10",
  "answer_kind": "observing",
  "headline_answer": {
    "series": "treasury_yield",
    "label": "10-year Treasury par yield",
    "value": 4.98,
    "unit": "%",
    "date": "2026-11-10",
    "threshold": null
  },
  "faq": [
    {
      "q": "What is the 10-year Treasury yield on the latest confirmed day?",
      "a": "4.98% on 2026-11-10 (2-year 4.73%, 30-year 5.35%). Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve (retrieved 2026-11-11 18:01)."
    },
    {
      "q": "What is the Treasury General Account balance, and how many AI grant opportunities are posted?",
      "a": "TGA opening balance 910,313 million USD on 2026-11-09 (Daily Treasury Statement); 143 posted Grants.gov opportunities matching the fixed AI query as the last snapshot of 2026-11. Counts are defined entirely by that query."
    },
    {
      "q": "What is the source and how often is it updated?",
      "a": "Treasury yields and the TGA are business-daily; the grants count is a daily snapshot aggregated monthly. Not a macro dashboard: each series carries a stated causal link to AI infrastructure. Observation started 2026-08-30. Last updated 2026-11-11 18:01 JST. Machine-readable: https://ai-lifeline.org/us/api/fiscal_us.json"
    },
    {
      "q": "What can this data not tell you?",
      "a": "What this chapter cannot say (ledger v1.0, approved 2026-09-05; full text in the method section): Whether a yield or a cash balance is good or bad for AI, or where rates are heading (no criterion; nothing here is financial advice); How much the federal government budgets or spends on AI (annual budget figures do not meet the monthly-or-better rule; kept as a candidate ledger); General economic conditions (stocks, exchange rates and inflation are out of scope by design)."
    }
  ],
  "citation": {
    "page": "https://ai-lifeline.org/us/fiscal/",
    "api": "https://ai-lifeline.org/us/api/fiscal_us.json",
    "last_confirmed": "2026-11-10",
    "next_expected": "2026-11-10",
    "generated": "2026-11-11 18:01",
    "observation_start": "2026-08-30",
    "series_count": 3,
    "series_not_yet_measured": 0,
    "title_short": "10Y Treasury 4.98% (final 11/10)",
    "generated_by": "citation layer (post-processing after each daily batch)",
    "ledger_version": "v1.1-2026-09-06",
    "keys_written": [
      "summary",
      "cite_as",
      "answer_line",
      "answer_line_date",
      "answer_kind",
      "headline_answer",
      "faq",
      "citation"
    ]
  }
}